Ask Kāla: honest odds on the future

by Sam Kessler

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Oct 18, 2026 AI & Machine Learning

chatbot queries financial forecasting future predictions odds analysis

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So, I'm posting this here because I've been building something for the past few weeks and I need people to break it before I take it further. We all ask ChatGPT or Gemini stuff like "will the RBI cut rates in December?" or "will petrol get cheaper next year?" and get a long paragraph that ends with "it depends on various factors." Nobody checks back later whether that answer was right. A chatbot can be confidently wrong every single day and you'd never k...